Horse Racing
Irish 1000 Guineas Runners and Trends, As Lake Victoria Looks To Give O’Brien Eleventh Success In Curragh Group One
Andy is a horse racing journalist and betting expert who specializes in trends and stats. With his long association with TrainersQuotes and FromTheStables, Andy has also built up solid s with some of the best stables in the UK. Has written for GeeGeez and bookmakers Matchbook and BetBright in the past too, plus was the former sports betting editor of odds comparison site Easyodds and Juicestorm. Has also appeared on betting podcasts for MatchBook and has featured in the popular Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide in the past. Andy's also ghost written for former top jockey Richard Dunwoody and continues to have a monthly column in the Racing Ahead horse racing magazine. Now a regular on Sportscasting giving his views, trends and tips mainly on horse racing - if there's a stat to be explored and it's a sport, Andy is sure to find a betting angle to use. You can also hear Andy's weekly horse racing views and best bets on the popular Final Furlong podcast.
Get to know Andy Newton betterPublished20 May 2025
Sunday’s Irish 1000 runners will see a maximum of 14 entries heading to post – which are headed by Lake Victoria, who trainer Aidan O’Brien will be hoping can provide him with a remarkable eleventh success in the Curragh race.
Irish 1000 Guineas Runners Topped By Breeders’ Cup Winner Lake Victoria
The best horse racing sites in the UK are suggesting Lake Victoria is the one to beat in Sunday’s Irish 1,000 Guineas at the Curragh.
This well-bred Frankel filly will head to the Curragh having won five of her six career starts, which included a famous win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’ Turf at Del Mar last November.
Her only career defeat, however, came last time out in the English 1000 Guineas as Newmarket – when beaten 2 1/2 lengths by Desert Flower into sixth.
Many feel though with that run under her belt – her first for five months – she’ll improve for it but does have a bit of ground to make up with Flight (2nd) and Simmering (3rd), who finished ahead of her at Newmarket.
Lake Victoria is one of four possible Irish 1000 Guineas runners for O’Brien – with Royal Ascot winner Bedtime Story, Exactly and January the other entries at this stage for Ballydoyle.
WATCH: Lake Victoria Winning The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’ Turf 2024
Irish 1000 Guineas Runners and Latest Betting 2025
- Lake Victoria 13/8
- Swelter 10/3
- Flight 5/1
- Simmering 6/1
- City Of Memphis 12/1
- Exactly 12/1
- Atsila 12/1
- Bedtime Story 20/1
- January 20/1
- Cercene 20/1
- Duty First 25/1
- California Dreamer 50/1
- Jaliyah 50/1
- Tamam Desert 100/1
Note: Others on request and odds subject to change
Irish 1000 Guineas Trends: 46% Of The Last 13 Winners Ran In The English 1000 Guineas
See below some of the key 1000 Guineas trends and stats to take into Sunday’s big Curragh race – including six of the last 13 winners having contested the English 1000 Guineas.
This could, therefore, be a plus for Lake Victoria (6th), Flight (2nd), Simmering (3rd), Duty First (9th) – who all featured in that Newmarket classic.
The trends also tell us that 10 of the last 13 winners ran in the last six week, while 92% of the last 13 had at least three previous runs and had won over at least 7f before.
- 12/13 – Irish bred horses
- 12/13 – Had at least 3 previous runs
- 12/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
- 10/13 – Had won between 1-2 times
- 10/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
- 10/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
- 9/13 – Ran between 4-8 times before
- 8/13 – Drawn between stalls 6-11 (inc)
- 8/13 – Hadn’t run at the Curragh before
- 7/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 6/13 – Ran in the English 1000 Guineas last time (2 winners: Winter (2017) and Hermosa (2019))
- 5/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
- 5/13 – Winning favourites
- 3/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/13 – Ridden by Chris Hayes (2 of last 3)
- 2/13 – Trained by Dermot Weld (2 of last 3 and 6 wins in total)
- 8 of the last 12 winners were placed 1st or 2nd last time out (4 won)
- The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 13/2
You can also see the key 2000 Guineas trends and stats here.
Trainer Aidan O’Brien Has Won The Irish 1000 Guineas TEN Times
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the Irish 2000 Guineas 12 times – and he’s not far off that haul in the Irish 1000 either, with 10 wins.
Meaning the leading Irish handler has fired in a staggering 22 Irish Guineas winners across both races.
The first winner for O’Brien in the Irish 1000 Guineas came back in 1997 with Classic Park – which was actually the same year he got off the mark in the Irish 2000 with Desert King.
Since then, he’s had top winners that have included Winter (2017), who also landed the English 1000 Guineas that year – while his most recent was Empress Josephine in 2021.
Therefore, despite his record 10 wins in the race – O’Brien will head into 2025 on a mini-drought in the race with no win in three.
Aidan O’Brien’s Irish 1000 Guineas Winners
- Classic Park (1997)
- Imagine (2001),
- Yesterday (2003)
- Halfway To Heaven (2008)
- Misty For Me (2011)
- Marvellous (2014)
- Winter (2017)
- Hermosa (2019)
- Peaceful (2020)
- Empress Josephine (2021)
Dermot Weld is another trainer that’s done well in the race – winning six in total and two of the last three.
He’ll be hoping to add to that with his lightly-raced Kingman filly Swelter, who is 2-from-2 after a couple of nice wins at Leopardstown (watch below).
Irish 1000 Guineas Race Details 2025
📅Date: Sunday 25th May 2025
⌚Time: 3:40pm
🏇Racecourse: Curragh
🔄Trip: 1m
💷Winner: €285,000
📺 TV: ITV/RTV (see the full ITV Racing coverage this week)
Recent Irish 1000 Guineas Winners
- 2024 – FALLEN ANGEL (11/4 fav)
- 2023 – TAHIYRA (2/5 fav)
- 2022 – HOMELESS SONGS (11/2)
- 2021 – EMPRESS JOSEPHINE (14/1)
- 2020 – PEACEFUL (3/1)
- 2019 – HERMOSA (5/2 fav)
- 2018 – ALPHA CENTAURI (12/1)
- 2017 – WINTER (9/1)
- 2016 – JET SETTING (9/1)
- 2015 – PLEASCACH (11/2)