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NASCAR Cup Series Xfinity 500 Odds, Predictions, Kyle Larson’s Quest & Best Bets At Martinsville Speedway
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Published29 Oct 2024
The NASCAR Cup Series’ marketing department may be getting nervous.
Kyle Larson, one of motorsports’ major personalities, opens Sunday’s Round of 8 finale at Martinsville Speedway seven points below the elimination line.
For marketing reasons, the stock-car racing industry may privately hope Larson eventually plays a major role during the Championship 4 at Phoenix Raceway on Nov. 10. With Joey Logano and Tyler Reddick already qualified, Larson’s presence would certainly boost television ratings. NASCAR does not need any more sponsorship setbacks.
Larson must avoid the trouble he faced last Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The 2021 circuit champion endured a flat right-rear tire that forced his No. 5 Chevrolet into a wall. Rallying from the Stage 1 mishap, Larson was in position to take the lead on Lap 255, but ended up spinning out during a three-wide situation with Ryan Blaney and Austin Dillon.
“You’re trying to make split-second decisions … I was trying to shoot the gap,” Larson told NASCAR.com. “It just didn’t work out.”
Larson finished P13.
“Great job rebounding,” Larson said.
Larson (+400) has competed in two previous final four races and enters Sunday as the sports-betting favorite to win his way back into the final four, according to Caesars Sportsbook.
Below, we’ll preview the top storylines heading into Sunday’s Xfinity 500, go over the odds, and give our best bets for the 35th race – and Round of 8 finale – on the 2024 NASCAR schedule.
KYLE LARSON SPINS RACING RYAN BLANEY FOR THE LEAD!
A restart with under 10 laps left on NBC coming up! #NASCARPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/VNyTXMRUci
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) October 27, 2024
Xfinity 500 Storylines
- After a record 33 lead changes and a dramatic finish last Sunday at Homestead-Miami, should the national series’ Championship 4 races return to the Sunshine State?
- Going from third place to first on the last lap after securing a stage win from the pole position, Reddick enjoyed a sunny Florida afternoon. All eight of Reddick’s career wins have come at different tracks. The Championship 4 qualifier has yet to visit Victory Lane at Phoenix in nine chances.
- Ryan Blaney discovered creative ways to lose races on the final rotation this season. He fell short by inches at Atlanta, ran out of gas at Gateway and couldn’t block Riddick from ing on the final turn at Homestead-Miami. Will the defending Cup champion’s on-track luck change at Martinsville?
Ryan Blaney on the Tyler Reddick move on the final lap: pic.twitter.com/DXZYUp6mrc
— Bob Pockrass (@bobpockrass) October 27, 2024
Xfinity 500 Driver Odds
Here is an early look at the drivers’ odds for the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway, according to Caesars Sportsbook:
| Driver | NASCAR Cup Series’ Xfinity 500 Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +400 |
| Denny Hamlin | +425 |
| Ryan Blaney | +500 |
| William Byron | +750 |
| Chase Elliott | +800 |
| Christopher Bell | +1000 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1400 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1600 |
| Joey Logano | +1600 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2200 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2500 |
| Tyler Reddick | +2500 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2500 |
| Alex Bowman | +3000 |
| Kyle Busch | +3000 |
| Ross Chastain | +3500 |
| Josh Berry | +4000 |
| Chris Buescher | +4500 |
| Ryan Preece | +7500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +10000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +10000 |
| Noah Gragson | +10000 |
| Todd Gilliland | +10000 |
| Noah Gragson | +15000 |
| Austin Dillon | +20000 |
| Austin Cindric | +25000 |
| Shane van Gisbergen | +25000 |
| Michael McDowell | +30000 |
| Erik Jones | +35000 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +50000 |
| Corey LaJoie | +75000 |
| Zane Smith | +75000 |
| Justin Haley | +75000 |
| Harrison Burton | +100000 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | +100000 |
| Daniel Hemric | +150000 |
| Josh Bilicki | +250000 |
| Kaz Grala | +250000 |
*-Odds current at time of publication
Xfinity 500 Predictions and Picks
Here are our best NASCAR Cup Series bets for the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway:
Denny Hamlin (+425)
With four top-fives in his past seven outings at Martinsville, Hamlin has spent a lot of time out front, compiling 840 laps led. Hamlin nearly won off the final restart last Sunday at Homestead-Miami, but was ed on the last lap. Eighteen points below the cutoff line, Hamlin will be driving desperately at a track he likes.
William Bryon (+750)
Entering Sunday seven points above the elimination line with two final four spots available. With two wins and four top-fives in his past seven starts at Martinsville, Byron, who ran a clean, if not conservative race at Homestead-Miami, should be tough to bet against in the Round of 8 finale.
Christopher Bell (+1000)
Over the past 45 days, Bell has dominated the circuit, compiling an average finish of 5.7 over his past seven outings. During that span, Bell earned four top-fives and six top-10s. He enters Sunday 29 points above the cutoff line.
WHAT A WILD FINAL TWO LAPS AT HOMESTEAD-MIAMI.
Relive the battle for the win between Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney and Denny Hamlin for a spot in the NASCAR championship race. pic.twitter.com/JfLU59krvx
— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) October 27, 2024
