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Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning Opening Weekend Box Office Predictions & Odds
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Get to know Dan Girolamo betterPublished20 May 2025
Is this the final mission for Ethan Hunt? Tom Cruise must save the world one last time in box office predictions and odds below.
What Is Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning About?
When we last saw Ethan Hunt, he escaped from a runaway train with the completed cruciform key. Ethan reunited with Benji to continue their hunt to find the Sevastopol, a submarine that sank to the bottom of the Bering Sea.
The Sevastopol is the home of the Entity, an all-powerful AI system that can essentially control all of cyberspace. In the technological world, the party that controls the Entity will become the most powerful group in the world.
Ethan can’t let the Entity fall into the wrong hands. Therefore, he and his team must find the Sevastopol and destroy the Entity before it disrupts the balance of global power.
Cruise headlines a Mission: Impossible movie for the eighth time.
The Final Reckoning stars Hayley Atwell, Ving Rhames, Simon Pegg, Esai Morales, Pom Klementieff, Henry Czerny, Mariela Garriga, Holt McCallany, Janet McTeer, Nick Offerman, Hannah Waddingham, Tramell Tillman, Shea Whigham, Greg Tarzan Davis, Charles Parnell, Mark Gatiss, Rolf Saxon, Lucy Tulugarjuk, and Angela Bassett.
Christopher McQuarrie directs Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning from a screenplay he co-wrote with Erik Jendresen.
Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning opens in theaters on May 23.
Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
| Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning Opening Weekend Box Office: Domestic | Odds |
|---|---|
| Less than $60 million | +426 |
| $60 million-$65 million | +456 |
| $65 million-$70 million | +456 |
| $70 million-$75 million | +456 |
| Over $75 million | +317 |
Odds via Polymarket on 5/20/25 at 5:30 p.m. ET
How badly do audiences want to see Cruise complete multiple death-defying stunts in The Final Reckoning?
Tracking is coming in between $60 million and $75 million. Polymarket predicts audiences will flock to theaters to see Cruise and projects a domestic opening of over $75 million (+317).
Mission: Impossible movies are not considered box office juggernauts. Fallout is the record holder for the movie with the biggest opening weekend of the franchise, with $61.2 million.
However, Dead Reckoning should sur $61.2 million, especially with it opening on a holiday weekend.
